PART 2 - FOUR HIDDEN CHIMNEYS CHAPTER 11: THE STONE OF TRIUMPH Wild Possibilities

"Aggregate AI researcher timelines shifted materially between the 2022 and 2023 surveys, with the 50 percent forecast for machines outperforming humans in every possible task moving from 2060 to 2047."

The 2023 survey placed the aggregate 50 percent date at 2047, thirteen years earlier than the comparable 2022 result, directly showing how rapidly expert AI timelines can move.

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