Evidence

Format Web Page

"South Korea rose from a poor development-aid recipient to a high-income economy."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title Congratulatory Remarks by World Bank Managing Director for Operations Anna Bjerde at the International Conference for the 60th Anniversary of Korea’s Five-Year Economic Development Plan

Source authors Anna Bjerde

Source year 2023

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Online paper / PDF

"The UN’s 2024 projections place the likely global population peak around the mid-2080s."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results

Source authors United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division

Source year 2024

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Book / Offline paper

"Forrester questioned whether developing countries collectively could reach the material living standards enjoyed by industrialized nations."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Book / Offline paper

"Forrester treated the original World Dynamics trajectories as model scenarios rather than unconditional predictions of the world’s actual future."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Book / Offline paper

"In Forrester’s original model run, global population climbed until approximately 2020 before declining."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Book / Offline paper

"In Forrester’s original model run, material living standards peaked around 2000."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Book / Offline paper

"World Dynamics challenged the prevailing faith in continuous economic expansion."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"World Dynamics was a mathematically elaborate computer model, incorporating extensive equations, graphical output and DYNAMO code."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title Magical systems thinking

Source authors Ed Bradon

Source year 2025

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Book / Offline paper

"World Dynamics explored how population, industry, food production, pollution and finite resources affected one another over time."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title World Dynamics

Source authors Jay W. Forrester

Source year 1971

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Online paper / PDF

"Forrester and his MIT colleagues developed DYNAMO for simulating how complicated feedback systems behaved over time."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 16: CONNECTING THE SPECKLES The Romans and the Knife

Source title An interview with Phyllis A. Fox

Source authors Phyllis A. Fox; Thomas Haigh

Source year 2005

Confidence high

Importance high