Evidence

Format Online paper / PDF

"Actor-observer bias and Gell-Mann amnesia are useful distant cousins for describing differences between how we understand our own work and how we judge unfamiliar professions."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Public Lies, Private Truths

Source title The Actor–Observer Asymmetry in Attribution: A (Surprising) Meta-Analysis

Source authors Bertram F. Malle

Source year 2006

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Gell-Mann amnesia describes recognising inaccuracies in journalism about our own expertise, then trusting the same publication when it discusses subjects outside our expertise."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Public Lies, Private Truths

Source title Why Speculate?

Source authors Michael Crichton

Source year 2002

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"The Italian word “canali” was translated as “canals”, helping to fuel a much larger fantasy about Martian engineers and extraterrestrial civilisation."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Public Lies, Private Truths

Source title Alien Dreams: The Surprisingly Long History of Speculation About Extraterrestrials

Source authors Wade Roush

Source year 2021

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Online paper / PDF

"Scientists have long-standing challenges communicating layered nuance to the media and public, as we witnessed during the COVID pandemic."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Public Lies, Private Truths

Source title Communicating scientific uncertainty in a rapidly evolving situation: a framing analysis of Canadian coverage in early days of COVID-19

Source authors Gabriela Capurro, Cynthia G. Jardine, Jordan Tustin, Michelle Driedger

Source year 2021

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Alberto Brandolini wrote that the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude greater than the energy needed to produce it."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Public Lies, Private Truths

Source title Brandolini’s law

Source authors Guillaume Nicoulaud

Source year 2014

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Cory Doctorow argues that limited autonomous systems can transfer the burden of accommodating automation onto everyone else."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Liars, Doomers, & Muggles

Source title Pluralistic: AI’s pogo-stick grift (02 Aug 2025)

Source authors Cory Doctorow

Source year 2025

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Andrew Ng proposed that autonomous-vehicle safety also depend on government encouraging lawful and considerate road-user behavior."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Liars, Doomers, & Muggles

Source title Self-driving cars are headed toward an AI roadblock

Source authors Russell Brandom

Source year 2018

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"By September 2026, the authority was still assessing the Verne project and any repayment of EUR 89.7 million already advanced."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Liars, Doomers, & Muggles

Source title SAFU potvrdio ključan detalj o Rimčevim robotaksijima

Source authors L. Š. and Hina

Source year 2026

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"In August 2026, Uber offered Zagreb autonomous rides powered by Pony.ai, operated by Verne, and monitored by licensed onboard operators."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Liars, Doomers, & Muggles

Source title Uber Launches Autonomous Rides in Europe

Source authors Uber Technologies

Source year 2026

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Verne launched a commercial Pony.ai-powered robotaxi service in Zagreb in April 2026 with onboard operators initially."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Liars, Doomers, & Muggles

Source title Verne launches Europe’s first commercial robotaxi service.

Source authors Verne

Source year 2026

Confidence high

Importance high