Format Online paper / PDF
Location PART 1 - TONS OF PUNKS, ONE BIG JERK CHAPTER 3: TOUCHGRASS Throwing Darts

"Software professionals are, on average, over-optimistic about required effort and over-confident about the accuracy of their effort estimates."

Jørgensen summarizes experimental evidence showing systematic over-optimism and overconfidence in software effort estimation.

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Source title Identification of More Risks Can Lead to Increased Over-Optimism of and Over-Confidence in Software Development Effort Estimates
Source authors Magne Jørgensen
Source year 2010
Confidence high
Importance high
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