Evidence

Format Online paper / PDF

"F-16 pilots intercepted the Learjet and reported dark cabin windows and apparently frosted cockpit windshields."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 15: DEPLOY NOW, PRAY LATER Deploy Now, Pray Later - Root

Source title Aircraft Accident Brief

Source authors National Transportation Safety Board

Source year 2000

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Online paper / PDF

"Air traffic controllers repeatedly tried to contact the silent Learjet, and F-16 pilots attempted contact during interception."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 15: DEPLOY NOW, PRAY LATER Deploy Now, Pray Later - Root

Source title Aircraft Accident Brief

Source authors National Transportation Safety Board

Source year 2000

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Online paper / PDF

"On October 25, 1999, a Learjet 35 carrying Payne Stewart departed Orlando for Dallas and subsequently stopped responding to air traffic control."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 15: DEPLOY NOW, PRAY LATER Deploy Now, Pray Later - Root

Source title Aircraft Accident Brief

Source authors National Transportation Safety Board

Source year 2000

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"AI infrastructure investment risks becoming the greatest misallocation of capital in business history if the anticipated productivity boom fails to materialize."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title Can AI Productivity Grow Fast Enough to Justify Big Tech’s Spending?

Source authors Shankar Parameshwaran

Source year 2026

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Online paper / PDF

"Large AI infrastructure commitments depend on future productivity gains and could become a historically large capital misallocation if those gains disappoint."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title What Investment Data Implies about the AI Transition

Source authors Jessica A. Wachter; Jonathan D. Wachter

Source year 2026

Confidence mid

Importance high

Format Web Page

"AI investment still commonly aims to enhance employee productivity, not simply remove human workers."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title The AI and labor landscape 2026: Increased investment, persistent productivity gains and a recalibrated employment outlook

Source authors Pollyanna De Lima; Alexander Johnston; Sophie Malin

Source year 2026

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Book / Offline paper

"Camille Fournier distinguishes a culture based on shared values from one defined by narrow educational pedigree, using MIT graduates as an example."

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title The Manager's Path

Source authors Camille Fournier

Source year 2017

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Tim Dettmers argues that speculative AGI narratives overlook the physical realities and resource limits of computation."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title Why AGI Will Not Happen

Source authors Tim Dettmers

Source year 2025

Confidence high

Importance mid

Format Web Page

"Tim Dettmers argues that Bay Area rationalist and effective-altruist echo chambers amplify sloppy thinking about AGI and superintelligence."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title Why AGI Will Not Happen

Source authors Tim Dettmers

Source year 2025

Confidence high

Importance high

Format Web Page

"Emad Mostaque publicly described much of the world as creatively constipated and said AI could enable people to poop rainbows."

View Source

Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER Are We Replaceable Batteries?

Source title When AI can make art – what does it mean for creativity?

Source authors Laurie Clarke

Source year 2022

Confidence high

Importance high