Ray Kurzweil wagered in 2002 that a computer would pass a specified version of the Turing test by 2029.

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Location PART 3 - THE THIRD AXIS CHAPTER 14: AGI & THE SYNTHESIZER The Eschaton Is Near

"Ray Kurzweil wagered in 2002 that a computer would pass a specified version of the Turing test by 2029."

The Long Now Foundation records the wager between Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor, including the detailed testing conditions and the 2029 deadline. This is a documented forecast of a particular conversational-intelligence milestone, demonstrating the continuing practice of attaching precise dates to anticipated AI breakthroughs.

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Source title By 2029 no computer - or machine intelligence - will have passed the Turing Test

Source authors Ray Kurzweil; Mitchell Kapor

Source year 2002

Confidence high

Importance high